16 July – von der Leyen outlines her EU plan

Ursula von der Leyen
pic: bbc.com

Ursula von der Leyen, the leading candidate for the presidency of the EU commission job, outlined her plan for the EU during her reign.

Er, command.

No, her presidency…

” We want multilateralism, we want fair trade, we defend the rules-based order because we know it is better for all of us. We have to do it the European way. But if we are to go down the European path, we must first rediscover our unity. If we are united on the inside, nobody will divide us from the outside. ” ( http://europa.eu/rapid/press-release_SPEECH-19-4230_en.htm)

von der Leyen also stated she wants to reduce CO2 emissions by at least 50% by 2030, and that this was something that the EU countries needed to do together. She will also be putting forward a “green deal for Europe” within her first 100 days.

Other key phrases were “Sustainable Europe Investment Bank,” “Climate Bank,” “Carbon Border Tax,” and “Just Transition Fund.” Also mentioned were “Stability and Growth Pact, fair taxes, minimum wages, Youth Guarantee, Child Guarantee, “full gender equality in my College of Commissioners” and and a wish to “add violence against women on the list of EU crimes defined in the Treaty.”

Really, you should read her speech.

The vote on her presidency is due to take place at 4pm Swedish time today. There are no other real candidates, but in order to have solid legitimacy she needs to win over more than a token amount of votes from the Social Democrats, who would rather have had Frans Timmermans. She might not be a complete shoo-in, but her not winning would indicate a serious revolt on the part of the EU Parliament, who wants to have the major say in who gets the job. When the EU commission instead decided to back their own candidate, von der Leyen, there were many aggrieved and angry faces.

Still, we can pretty much expect to say European Commission President von der Leyen soon.

July 11 – C and S duke it out at the EU

Timmermans and Vestager
dr.dk

Now that suddenly Ursala von der Leyen (a German politician from the Christian Democratic Union party) is the leading candidate for presidency of the EU commission, the fight is on for the position of first vice-president. On-site for the Center party, Frederick Federley is pushing for the Liberal candidacy of Danish Margrethe Vestager, while the Social Democrats in Brussels are working hard for their candidate, Dutchman Frans Timmermans. Swedish radio (sr.se) reports that Helene Fritzon, the top Social Democrat from Sweden, believes Sweden extracted a promise from von der Leyen that Timmermans would get it, but since the meeting was behind closed doors and there’s nothing on paper, who knows.

Both of these candidates were leading in the race for the presidency but were knocked out by the sudden appearance of von der Leyen, a compromise candidate that everyone thought they could get behind. Now, the fight is just as bad for the second-in-command position.

In typical diplomatic fashion, the solution might be to name the one “first vice-president,” and the other just “vice-president.” But a compromise like that might just compromise the position even more. Does anyone even know who the current vice-president is? No, not actually.

21 June – EU nod to climate

EU flag
economist.com

*Ed. note: correction! The EU meeting mentioned below is still going on. Löfven, again, won’t make it home for Midsommar celebrations aka the biggest and arguably most important holiday in Sweden.

Stefan Löfven must have been glad to be back in Sweden for its holiday – for many years the EU ignored Sweden entirely and set up its top leadership summit on Midsummer exactly. This year though, it was yesterday. Löfven wasn’t able to come home to Sweden with much accomplished though. The Swedish aim is a climate neutral Europe by 2050, but the resulting agreed upon text says merely that the EU will be climate neutral according to the Paris Agreement and then, in a footnote according to DN.se, it states that for many EU countries this means 2050. 

Not a power mission statement iow, but certainly better than nothing. A strong – and binding- statement is scary for countries like Poland, Czech Republic and Hungary inter alia who fear environmental regulations will negatively affect jobs and growth. You have to respect that worry too.