13 Jan. – security in Sälen

security concerns taken up in Sälen
pic: navyskipper.blogspot.com

Way up north in the town of Sälen, northwest of Mora och near the border with Norway, the who’s who of Swedish military and defense, various ministers, party representatives, experts and a sprinkling of ambassadors are gathered at the yearly conference called Folk och Försvar, Society and Defense, to discuss issues pertinent to Sweden’s military security and defense matters. The military’s commander in chief Micael Bydén (ÖB in Swedish, överbefälhavare) spoke today, SvD reports.

“We live in a time in which global development demands both immediate alertness and long-term endurance” Bydén said in his speech. The Middle East, an aggressive Russia, China’s increasing influence, the USA’s shifting priorities, brexit, and the climate effects on conflict are some of the issues that Sweden faces. “A rule-based world order is under duress, and several traditional patterns of cooperation have been weakened or are being challenged.”

The cost of Sweden’s military forces is under continual pressure. “Sweden is in a geographically sensitive area, and with the background of a worsened security situation, Sweden’s defense must be further developed” stated Bydén – and political parties agree with him. Just how much should be spent is the crux of the matter.

At the conference yesterday, Moderate party leader Ulf Kristersson announced that for the Moderate party to sign off on the agreement between the Social Democrats, Center, Liberal and Green party last August, another 9 billion kronor is needed for the measures that were agreed upon. This would raise the military appropriation to 93 billion kronor in 2025, about 1.5% of Sweden’s gross domestic product, according to DN.

Peter Hultqvist, minister for defense, said he wasn’t completely opposed to the Moderate bid. More negotiations will take place later this year.

A new poll from DN/Ipsos shows that people’s trust in Sweden’s defenses remains low at 51%. Only 18% of respondents say that they have a lot of trust in the military’s capability to defend Sweden in case of an attack. In a related question, people were also asked whether or not Sweden should join Nato. The results shows small changes since the question was asked in 2014: The number of people saying no to Nato membership sank from 47% to 38%. However the number of people saying yes to Nato also decreased, from 35% to 30%. You guessed it, the number of people who don’t know, or are uncertain, increased from 20% to 32%.

As Micael Bydén implied, it’s an uncertain world.

11 Jan. – Sweden’s leadership responds to the Iranian admission of guilt

Sweden responds to Iran’s admission
pic: se.depositphotos.com

“Horrible and terrible” was Prime Minister Stefan Löfven’s response to Iran’s admission of guilt for shooting down the Ukrainian passenger plane. “That a civilian plane has been shot down, regardless if it was a mistake or not, is an action that must be condemned, and that Iran must take full responsibility for, also in regards to the affected parties.” Löfven again also conveyed his condolences to the victims’ families. “Here in Sweden, and throughout the world, people grieve the victims of the plane crash outside Tehran the 8th of January. I feel strongly for all those who lost someone dear to them.”

“I see that they have now taken their responsibility, now that the proof was, apparently, overwhelming” noted Ann Linde, Minister for Foreign Affairs, on Twitter.

Minister for Defense, Peter Hultqvist, also commented on P1 that it would not be enough that Iran conduct a thorough and transparent investigation – the country also has a responsibility to those who have been affected. “It’s too early to say exactly what that will come to mean […] there will be a reckoning at a later stage.” Hultqvist emphasized that Iran was completely responsible for what happened.

In related news, Hultqvist remained positive to Swedish troops remaining in nearby Iraq as long as they had a mandate from the Iraqi government to do so.

10 Jan. – Sweden asking for full access in plane crash investigation

pic: Rouzbeh Fouladi/TT

Sadly, it is now confirmed that 17 Swedes died in the plane crash in Iran earlier this week. UD spokesperson, Anna Lundbladh, told news bureau TT that seven people had Swedish citizenship and that the other ten were nationally registered (folkbokförd) in Sweden.

Speaking to DN, Ann Linde, Sweden’s Minister for Foreign Affairs, said that Sweden had no independent confirmation that an Iranian missile shot down the plane. “We have a crash expert who is available, if wanted or needed (ställt till förfogande).

In her conversation with the Iranian Foreign Minister, Linde stated that Sweden is requesting a full, transparent, independant and thorough inquiry. “We are asking for complete access” she said.

In his conversation with Canadian Prime Minister Justin Trudeau, Löfven said they had agreed that the information that Iran had shot down the plane increased the need for a expeditious, complete and transparent investigation. “We were also agreed that the affected countries need to have the possibility to contribute with national expertise and be given complete access to the investigation. We agreed to keep in close contact with the other affected countries” Löfven said to DN.

Sweden is stopping all flights between Sweden and Iran until further notice, SvD reports. In a press release, the Swedish Transport Agency (transportstyrelsen) said the stop was due to uncertainty over the reasons for the crash. The agency has also issued a strong recommendation to all airlines to avoid crossing the region’s airspace. “We are doing this from an air safety perspective” the transport agency’s director for sea and air Gunnar Ljungberg stated, “and in consideration for our passengers.”

09 Jan. – religious schools targeted by the government

no more religious schools?
pic: sydsvenska.se

One of the 73 points of the January agreement, pushed through largely by the Liberal party, strangely, was that the government would work towards prohibiting the establishment of any new primary or secondary school with a religious focus (konfessionell inriktning). A formal investigation into the matter was to be the first step (see point 57 here). Yesterday, the report from the investigation was handed to the Minister for Education, Anna Ekström, for consideration.

There are 72 schools in Sweden that have a religious focus, SvD reports. The vast majority of them are Christian, about ten or so have an Islamic orientation, and there is one school with a focus on judaism. According to Skolvärlden, however, these numbers are very inexact: It is up to the school to report if they have a religious focus or not, and neither Swedish National Agency for Education (Skolverket) or the Swedish Schools Inspectorate (Skolinspektionen) have any definite numbers.

Despite the Social Democratic party being decidedly against the establishment any additional religious schools, there can be problems implementing a ban with both the European Convention, in which parents have the right to choose an education for their child in accordance with their religious convictions, as well as with the freedom to conduct business guaranteed by the Swedish “Basic Laws” or constitution (grundlagen). The report was of the opinion that a prohibition would survive a legal examination, but even the Minister for Education said it would be “legally tricky” (juridiskt trixigt).

Attention to religious schools has been particularly intense in conjunction with the closing of Vetenskapsskolan in Göteborg, due largely to IS adherents returning to the school from fighting abroad, and with Nya Kastets school in Gävle whose leadership has been connected with persons the Swedish Security Service consider a terror risk and where the worry was that children ran the risk of being radicalised and recruited.

Neither of these schools had registered as religious schools, which is a blind spot that one of the suggestions from the report is meant to address, DN reports.

In principle, religious schools are to be run, and to have the curriculum, exactly like regular municipal schools during school hours. This includes not segregating boys and girls in physical education class or having segregated seating on the school bus. After and before school, however, it is allowed to have religious elements such as prayer and religious study activities on school grounds.

Many people wonder, including the editorial board at DN, if the government is spending a little too much ammunition shooting at easy targets when the real problems are elsewhere. Only about 1% of Swedish school children attend religious schools, while 16% of Swedish school children don’t qualify for secondary school (gymnasium) education. The report itself states that religious schools work very well as a rule, and that they also work well in comparable countries. Penny wise and pound foolish, one might say. Or in Swedish terms, the government could be said to be filtering gnats but swallowing camels (silar mygg men sväljer kameler).

But symbolic politics – signalpolitik – is always a popular handhold when other things aren’t going so well. SVT’s Novus poll results show that only 8% of LO members (the Swedish Trade Union Confederation), the traditional backbone of the Social Democratic party, think that the government’s policies are good, while 57% think they’re bad: The results are a camel that the Social Democrats should be careful not to swallow.

08 Jan. – Swedes killed in Iranian crash

many questions in conjunction with the crash
pic: Ebrahim Noroozi/AP

The escalation in the Iran-USA standoff reached Sweden early this morning when a plane leaving Tehran for Kiev burst into flames and crashed, killing all on board. Swedish casualties are currently at ten, but other sources have the figure at seventeen.

“It’s a terrible and shocking event. Many Swedes have been lost. My thoughts go to the victims and their families” said Minister for Foreign Affairs Anne Linde. UD’s spokesperson Anna Lundbladh told DN that the ministry was working on site through the embassy in Tehran to get better information.

Prime Minister Stefan Löfven echoed his minister’s comments, saying he was thinking of the victims, and called for an investigation into the crash’s causes.

Swede Peter Saffer has already been appointed the Swedish expert liaison for the crash, in accordance with the Chicago Convention on International Civil Aviation. The plane was in the air only a few minutes before it crashed. According to Iranian authorities there were no distress signals received.

The plane was first announced to have suffered a mechanical failure, but that idea has since been thrown into doubt as the plane was less than four years old and the pilots were experienced. The Swedish Accident Investigation Authority (haverikommissionen) have since said the accident’s causes will have to be determined.

Questions have also been raised as to whether the crash was a tragic accident or if it could somehow be connected to the rapid and recent escalation in tensions between the USA and Iran. The two black boxes from the plane have been recovered, but where their contents will be analysed is unresolved. Hans Kjäll, senior flight safety analyst at Nordic Safety Analysis Group, told SvD that there is uncertainty regarding Iran’s resources at this time. Normally, also the airline’s manufacturer, Boeing, would be involved with recovering the information but at this sensitive political juncture, their efforts could be unwelcome. Even what role and access Ukrainian authorities could be granted is uncertain. If Iran goes along with it, the boxes could also be sent to the French aviation security authority.

Here in Sweden, the names of the casualties will be released only after their relatives and family have been notified.